Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.008731 0.010293 0.012174 0.014646 0.017865 0.022004 0.027876
2025-08-17 0.006413 0.008122 0.010408 0.013803 0.018934 0.026813 0.040797
2025-08-24 0.005204 0.006886 0.009289 0.013159 0.019656 0.031080 0.055602
2025-08-31 0.004623 0.006348 0.008955 0.013473 0.021846 0.038729 0.083557
2025-09-07 0.004061 0.005721 0.008333 0.013107 0.022643 0.044126 0.113118
2025-09-14 0.003596 0.005166 0.007714 0.012570 0.022890 0.048464 0.146781
2025-09-21 0.003304 0.004843 0.007421 0.012557 0.024225 0.056470 0.212034
2025-09-28 0.003142 0.004706 0.007420 0.013103 0.027066 0.071226 0.365307
2025-10-05 0.003070 0.004710 0.007666 0.014221 0.031894 0.098356 0.832393
2025-10-12 0.002930 0.004575 0.007629 0.014703 0.035252 0.125057 1.877607
2025-10-19 0.002736 0.004321 0.007322 0.014481 0.036384 0.143349 3.756038
2025-10-26 0.002591 0.004144 0.007145 0.014538 0.038514 0.172217 11.390711
2025-11-02 0.002394 0.003867 0.006759 0.014074 0.038965 0.194947 47.483100
2025-11-09 0.002189 0.003558 0.006277 0.013274 0.037882 0.205560 279.068594
2025-11-16 0.002022 0.003308 0.005893 0.012664 0.037320 0.221572 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001941 0.003218 0.005839 0.012962 0.040812 0.295746 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001824 0.003044 0.005581 0.012614 0.041253 0.338364 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001707 0.002863 0.005288 0.012105 0.040693 0.366990 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001632 0.002762 0.005165 0.012092 0.042697 0.461465 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001596 0.002734 0.005208 0.012611 0.048067 0.713053 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001589 0.002766 0.005398 0.013670 0.057997 1.475536 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001550 0.002726 0.005408 0.014126 0.064759 2.692186 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001482 0.002622 0.005244 0.013917 0.066467 3.764288 NaN